{"id":12349,"date":"2020-10-25T03:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-24T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/?p=12349"},"modified":"2020-10-25T03:30:00","modified_gmt":"2020-10-24T22:00:00","slug":"will-this-year-aid-good-nem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/will-this-year-aid-good-nem\/","title":{"rendered":"Will this year aid good NEM?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Well, it’s a most asked question among the weather bloggers and fellow enthusiasts about the upcoming North East Monsoon performance!<\/em> To get a clear idea we have to analyze<\/em> the weather charts with our logical understanding which can give<\/em> us a clear clarity about the current weather dynamics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For this North East\u00a0Monsoon<\/em>\u00a0we can\u00a0analyze<\/em>\u00a0by watching ENSO conditions, 200Hpa divergence (Upper Level Divergence), MJO progression and IOD conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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In the end of October rapid transition gonna takes place where the upper level divergence (200Hpa) will leave MTC zone and expected to set it’s initial phase over EWIO (Equatorial Western Indian Ocean) and at the same time Westerly Wind Burst will weaken gradually ( Equatorial-Indian Latitude) and reverses to Easterly-North Easterly phase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During 1st week of November the MJO will go to suppressive phase and\u00a0will<\/em>\u00a0be a 1st break phase of our Northeast Monsoon. But the conditions\u00a0look<\/em>\u00a0favorable<\/em>\u00a0as the MJO will enter phase 2-3 during 2nd to 3rd week of November as well.\u00a0So<\/em>\u00a0during that phase there is a high probability of system formation over\u00a0the Bay<\/em>\u00a0Of Bengal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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      As per the current weather dynamics December looks pretty good as there will be a probability of strong\u00a0MJO\u00a0progression over our region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      There is no change in\u00a0the ENSO condition<\/em>\u00a0where we gonna witness weak-moderate La Nina conditions.\u00a0By<\/em>\u00a0seeing the above charts\u00a0to<\/em>\u00a0the logical understanding<\/em>\u00a0negative to neutral IOD conditions will prevail and it will boost up warm Sea Surface Temperature over EIO. So by concluding the list of\u00a0factors, it<\/em>\u00a0will be normal to above normal North East Monsoon\u00a0on the cards.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Well, it’s a most asked question among the weather bloggers and fellow enthusiasts about the upcoming North East Monsoon performance! To<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[46,50],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-46","category-nem-2020"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12349"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12349"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12349\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}