{"id":12510,"date":"2020-11-24T03:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-11-23T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/?p=12510"},"modified":"2020-11-24T03:30:00","modified_gmt":"2020-11-23T22:00:00","slug":"deep-depression-likely-to-intensify-into-cyclone-today-as-tn-stays-under-high-alert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/deep-depression-likely-to-intensify-into-cyclone-today-as-tn-stays-under-high-alert\/","title":{"rendered":"Deep Depression likely to intensify into Cyclone today as TN stays under high alert"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Deep Depression over Southwest and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal is very likely to intensify into a Cyclonic Storm &#8220;Nivar&#8221; by today and into very Severe Cyclone by tmrw(IMD).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Models continue to dispute over the landfall position due to handling of Ridges and WD interaction despite the fact that we only have 24 &#8211; 48hrs left for landfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we all know, Bay of Bengal systems are the most difficult to predict with so many parameters in play. There are potentially two scenarios shown by models as of now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/gfs-1.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"12511\" data-link=\"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/?attachment_id=12511\" class=\"wp-image-12511\"\/><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/jtwc-1-1024x607.gif\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"12512\" data-full-url=\"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/jtwc-1.gif\" data-link=\"http:\/\/keaweather.net\/?attachment_id=12512\" class=\"wp-image-12512\"\/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Scenario 1 : Landfall between Chennai to Pondy around Mahabs<br>Scenario 2 : Landfall between Cuddalore &#8211; Nagai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As per GFS, scenario 2 is likely to prevail as it predicts the Arabian Ridge to dominate and the system will have a more westerly trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As per ECM and ICON, scenario 1 is likely to prevail as it predicts the pacific ridge to dominate and the system will have a more North westerly trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The systems projected movement will be completely based on the ridges as noted above<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the models differing on projectories, it&#8217;s a requisite that entire Tamil Nadu\/South Andhra coast must be under high alert and be prepared for heavy rains and surface winds between Nov 24 &#8211; 26.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Deep Depression over Southwest and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal is very likely to intensify into a Cyclonic Storm<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[46,50],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-46","category-nem-2020"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12510"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12510\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kwschennai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}