The much awaited weak Tropical system in the Bay of Bengal will be battling another Tropical disturbance in the Arabian sea.The result could well determine the quantum of rains for TN for the end Oct /1st week Nov period. Current forecasts offer a clear advantage to the Arabian Sea System. Another variable in the form of a Western Disturbance (WD) will also determine the track of the weak BOB system. The Brewing system in the Arabian Sea is expected to give bountiful rain to coastal Kerala and substantial rain to southern tip of Tamil Nadu. Increase in rainfall activity will be witnessed in Tamil Nadu from Oct 27th.
As easterly waves are going to set in, Chennai is expected to receive some good showers within the next 3 days and rainfall activity would continue for 3 to 4 days. South Interior Tamil Nadu will have notable rain from Oct 28th. Showers and possibly some steadier, heavier rain moves across entire Tamil Nadu from Oct 28th..
The WD has given the first snowfall in Gulmarg and this will continue to see Rain or Snow at most places over J & K and few places over Uttarakhand. Isolated rainfall is expected in some parts of Maharashtra, East Uttar Pradesh
Chennai – Fair weather likely in day time with late night isolated shower at some places
Vellore – Cold start to Monday as cooler air returns. The Sunny weather will see Max temperature touching 32c
Madurai – Partly cloudy conditions expected in city. Max temperature may touch 31c
Trichy – Partly cloudy conditions expected in city. Mercury may touch 33c at noon. Drizzle expected in late evening.
Coimbatore – Morning clouds will give way to some Sun. Day time Temperature may like to touch 31c. No rain expected
North East Monsoon
Cyclone conceived on 28th Nov 1996 in the Bay of Bengal, crossed near Chennai around 2.30AM IST on 7 Dec 1996.The cyclone persisted for 9 days which is reported to be very long life compared to any cyclone in the Indian Ocean/Bay of Bengal. It caused severe damage to life and property.