Potential Cyclone Michaung heading towards North Tamil Nadu & South Andhra Pradesh 

North East Monsoon 2023 with a sluggish start in October and turned better in November, now we are heading towards a possible peak during the 1st week of December in the form of  Tropical disturbance Invest 95B enroute towards North Tamil Nadu & South Andhra Pradesh Coasts.

Courtesy: CIMSS

With the current position of 10N LAT & 83.4 LON, it may travel WNW in next 24 hours and come closer to Chennai as a Deep Depression or Tropical Cyclone.

Courtesy: Joint Typhoon Warning Centre

The probable tracks from ECM & GFS Ensembles vary a bit over path, but the consensus is system coming near to NTN SAP coasts.

Courtesy: Weathernerds

Hence, Coastals and interior regions of North Tamil Nadu & South Andhra Pradesh may experience Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall with Winds in next 72 hours. The precipitation outcome will be mostly determined with the proximity and intensity of the System.

There will always be a challenge when dealing with these sorts of Tropical Systems during the North East Monsoon, the probable tracks, intensity and Landfall location.

So, The quote “Always be Prepared” in these conditions around won’t be a bad idea, with any sort of Outcome.